ENGINEERING FOR DEVELOPMENT

(First Draft)

 

E J Jefferies

 

March 1969



CONTENTS

PART 1 THE WORLD DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME

Chapter 1 Introduction
Chapter 2 Closing the Gap
Chapter 3 Resistance to Change
Chapter 4 International Technical Assistance

PART II AN ENGINEERING APPROACH TO A PLAN FOR A COUNTRY

Chapter 5 Outline of the Approach
Chapter 6 Setting the Problem
Chapter 7 Basic, Concepts, Terms and Definitions
Chapter 8 Background Data Available
Chapter 9 The Starting Point for a Case Study
Chapter 10 Preliminary Calculations
Chapter 11 Patterns of Economic Growth
Chapter 12 Development Plan for Year 1
Chapter 13 Development Plan for Year 2
Chapter 14 Development Plan for Year 3
Chapter 15 Review of Changes During the Three Years
Chapter 16 The Control of Development
Chapter 17 Financing the Development

 

 

PART III THE IMPLICATIONS OF RAPID GROWTH

Chapter 18 Economic Growth and Technological Changes in Rural Communities
Chapter 19 The Influence of Agriculture on Industrial Development
Chapter 20 The Role of Manufacturing Industry
Chapter 21 The Contribution of Industrial Engineering to a Solution

 

PART IV DESIGNING FOR BALANCE IN DEVELOPMENT


Chapter 22 The Prediction of New Manufacturing Capacity Requirements by Product Group
Chapter 23 The Productivity of Labour
Chapter 24 The Growth of Productivity
Chapter 25 The Calculation of Appropriate Levels of Productivity in New Plants

 

CHAPTER 8

 

BACKGROUND DATA

 

On a nationwide basis, the individual spending habits of the people combine to form an overall pattern of spending for the society as a whole. There are reported each year in United Nations Statistical Year Books.

 

As an example, the following tables refer to Nicaragua:

 

TABLE 1 Expenditure on Gross National Product - At Market Prices of 1958

 

   

Million cordobas

  Year

1953

1958

1963

1964

1

2

3&4

5

6

Private consumption expenditure

General government consumption expenditure

Gross domestic fixed capital formation;

Increase in stocks

Export of goods and services

Less imports of goods and services

1489

165

308

398

462

1905

274

334

596

665

2357

249

532

932

945

2549

294

576

1041

1081

  Expenditure on gross domestic product

1895

2430

3125

3372

7

Net factor income from abroad

58

27

28

30

  Expenditure on gross national product

1953

2457

3153

3402

 

In turn this overall spending pattern, together with the size of population, average level of income and special economic conditions applicable (such as the existence of large sectors of primary production for export; or a well-developed tourist trade) fixes the magnitude of the demand for different services and manufactures, and the pattern of the origin of the wealth of the country.

 

TABLE 2 Industrial Origin of Gross Domestic Product - Market Prices of 1958

 

   

Million cordobas

  Year

1953

1958

1963

1964

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

Agriculture, forestry, hunting and fishing

Mining and quarrying

Manufacturing

Construction

Electricity, gas and water

Transport, storage and communications

Wholesale and retail trade

Banking, insurance and real estate

Ownership of dwellings

Public administration7 and defence

Services

797

38

198

44

9

62

407

28

22

111

117

930

33

294

64

19

140

471

48

121

139

145

1156

46

419

95

45

154

618

62

150

165

181

1225

52

472

80

54

170

674

74

186

179

187

  Gross domestic product at market prices

1885

2404

3125

3372

 

To complete the picture of the data published yearly by the United Nations which can be used as a basis for the calculations outlined later, the following are also given by Nicaragua:

 

(From the UN Yearbook of National Account Statistics):

 

Average Annual Rate of Growth

of GDP at Market Prices

 

Total

Per Capita

1952-1960

3.7%

0.7%

1960-1964

8.1%

4.8%

 

Total and Per Capita GDP Expressed in US $

at Prevailing Exchange Rates

 

GDP at

Factor Cost

Per Capita GDP

at Factor Cost

1958

316 millions

238

1963

394 millions

256

1964

443 millions

277

 

(From the UN Statistical Year Book):

 

Population

Estimated population mid-1963

Average rate of increase 1958-1963

1,541,000

2.9% per annum

Unemployment

No data for Nicaragua  

 

Average Annual Rates of Growth

1953-61

Agriculture

Mining

Manufacturing

Construction

GDP 3.8% = 0.3% per capita

Fixed Capital Formation

2.5%

2.9%

6.2%

8.9%

1.9%

 

In addition, it is useful if actual information can be found on (a) the total work force and its division between various fields of economic activity; (b) the pattern of income or consumer spending among the population.