ENGINEERING FOR DEVELOPMENT
(First Draft)
E J Jefferies
March 1969
CONTENTS
PART 1 THE WORLD DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME
Chapter
1 Introduction
Chapter
2 Closing the Gap
Chapter
3 Resistance to Change
Chapter
4 International Technical Assistance
PART II AN ENGINEERING APPROACH TO A PLAN FOR A COUNTRY
Chapter
5 Outline of the Approach
Chapter
6 Setting the Problem
Chapter
7 Basic, Concepts, Terms and Definitions
Chapter
8 Background Data Available
Chapter
9 The Starting Point for a Case Study
Chapter
10 Preliminary Calculations
Chapter
11 Patterns of Economic Growth
Chapter
12 Development Plan for Year 1
Chapter
13 Development Plan for Year 2
Chapter
14 Development Plan for Year 3
Chapter
15 Review of Changes During the Three Years
Chapter
16 The Control of Development
Chapter
17 Financing the Development
PART III THE
IMPLICATIONS OF RAPID GROWTH
Chapter
18 Economic Growth and Technological Changes in Rural Communities
Chapter
19 The Influence of Agriculture on Industrial Development
Chapter
20 The Role of Manufacturing Industry
Chapter
21 The Contribution of Industrial Engineering to a Solution
PART IV DESIGNING FOR BALANCE IN DEVELOPMENT
Chapter
22 The Prediction of New Manufacturing Capacity Requirements by
Product Group
Chapter
23 The Productivity of Labour
Chapter
24 The Growth of Productivity
Chapter
25 The Calculation of Appropriate Levels of Productivity in New
Plants
CHAPTER 8
BACKGROUND DATA
On a nationwide basis, the individual spending habits of the people combine to form an overall pattern of spending for the society as a whole. There are reported each year in United Nations Statistical Year Books.
As an example, the following tables refer to Nicaragua:
TABLE 1 Expenditure on Gross National Product - At Market Prices of 1958
Million cordobas |
|||||
| Year | 1953 |
1958 |
1963 |
1964 |
|
1 2 3&4 5 6 |
Private consumption expenditure General government consumption expenditure Gross domestic fixed capital formation; Increase in stocks Export of goods and services Less imports of goods and services |
1489 165 308 398 462 |
1905 274 334 596 665 |
2357 249 532 932 945 |
2549 294 576 1041 1081 |
| Expenditure on gross domestic product | 1895 |
2430 |
3125 |
3372 |
|
7 |
Net factor income from abroad | 58 |
27 |
28 |
30 |
| Expenditure on gross national product | 1953 |
2457 |
3153 |
3402 |
|
In turn this overall spending pattern, together with the size of population, average level of income and special economic conditions applicable (such as the existence of large sectors of primary production for export; or a well-developed tourist trade) fixes the magnitude of the demand for different services and manufactures, and the pattern of the origin of the wealth of the country.
TABLE 2 Industrial Origin of Gross Domestic Product - Market Prices of 1958
Million cordobas |
|||||
| Year | 1953 |
1958 |
1963 |
1964 |
|
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 |
Agriculture, forestry, hunting
and fishing Mining and quarrying Manufacturing Construction Electricity, gas and water Transport, storage and communications Wholesale and retail trade Banking, insurance and real estate Ownership of dwellings Public administration7 and defence Services |
797 38 198 44 9 62 407 28 22 111 117 |
930 33 294 64 19 140 471 48 121 139 145 |
1156 46 419 95 45 154 618 62 150 165 181 |
1225 52 472 80 54 170 674 74 186 179 187 |
| Gross domestic product at market prices | 1885 |
2404 |
3125 |
3372 |
|
To complete the picture of the data published yearly by the United Nations which can be used as a basis for the calculations outlined later, the following are also given by Nicaragua:
(From the UN Yearbook of National Account Statistics):
Average Annual Rate of Growth of GDP at Market Prices |
||
Total |
Per Capita |
|
1952-1960 |
3.7% |
0.7% |
1960-1964 |
8.1% |
4.8% |
Total and Per Capita GDP Expressed in US $ at Prevailing Exchange Rates |
||
GDP at Factor Cost |
Per Capita GDP at Factor Cost |
|
1958 |
316 millions |
238 |
1963 |
394 millions |
256 |
1964 |
443 millions |
277 |
(From the UN Statistical Year Book):
Population |
|
| Estimated population mid-1963 Average rate of increase 1958-1963 |
1,541,000 2.9% per annum |
Unemployment |
|
| No data for Nicaragua | |
Average Annual Rates of Growth |
||
1953-61 |
Agriculture Mining Manufacturing Construction GDP 3.8% = 0.3% per capita Fixed Capital Formation |
2.5% 2.9% 6.2% 8.9% 1.9% |
In addition, it is useful if actual information can be found on (a) the total work force and its division between various fields of economic activity; (b) the pattern of income or consumer spending among the population.